How It Works
A data-driven approach to NHL betting. No gut feelings, no hunches — just math.
What We Do
Our model analyzes recent NHL team performance across dozens of metrics to generate win probabilities for every game. When our probability differs significantly from what the sportsbooks imply, that's an edge — and that's when we publish a pick.
Recent Form Matters
We focus on how teams are playing right now, not years ago. Our model weighs the most recent games significantly more than older ones, capturing momentum shifts, lineup changes, and current form that static season-long stats miss.
Finding Value
We convert sportsbook odds into implied probabilities and compare them to our model's predictions. If our model says a team has a 60% chance to win but the odds imply only 50%, that's a 10% edge. We only publish picks when we find significant value.
Confidence Levels
Not all edges are equal. We categorize every pick by confidence level based on the size of the edge. Higher edge means higher confidence. We're selective — most games don't make the cut. Quality over quantity.
Full Transparency
Our complete track record is public. Every pick we've ever made is logged with the edge we saw, the confidence level, and the result. We show losses too. If we're wrong, you'll know. That's how trust is built.
See for yourself — check our picks and track record.